Participate in TransBaltic Foresight Debates

TransBaltic shall consolidate visions, masterplans and planning concepts delivered by the earlier pan-Baltic initiatives into one systemic framework, from the perspective of sustainable regional development and transport gateway function of the BSR.

This means to develop:

• A concerted vision of the BSR intermodal transport system in 2030
• A development path (strategy to reach the vision)
• Alternative traffic flow scenarios

To achieve the shared character of the deliverables as above, the project intends to apply a foresight method. This implies organizing a participatory process involving stakeholders (experts and decision makers from research, industry, policy making and society).

Preliminarily, as material for discussion among the stakeholders and with the appointed consultant for the foresight process, the following scenarios for the year 2030 are proposed to be the base for the BSR-specific discussions:

• Baseline scenario – projecting the situation where all major transport infrastructure projects that are included in the medium- and long-term national investment plans of the BSR states (and optionally – China, India, Ukraine and Central Asia republics) are completed
• Arctic passage scenario/Gateway scenario including land bridges - projecting the situation when the ice-free waters of the Arctic Sea enable summer season navigation to release saturated south Baltic Sea Region road/rail network from intercontinental traffic
• Green transport scenario – projecting the situation when the EU regulations and rules of the EU neighbouring countries lay ground for developing a network of green multimodal transport corridors as a priority network in the BSR (correspondent to present TEN-T network)

The debates shall be completed in mid-May 2010 to allow for validation and upgrade of the scenarios, with possible addition of new trajectory paths, not envisaged at the beginning of the process. The set of concerted scenarios will be then transferred to task 3.2 in order to make a corridor projection of the flow volumes (see specification for forecast work in task 3.2). The updated scenario descriptions and the traffic flow analysis will create the base for some analytical studies to describe the consequences of the development alternatives. Finally, all the documentation will be generalized and inserted into the Action Plan, which will contain infrastructure, logistics and transport capacity measures addressing pan-Baltic connectivity, interoperability and intermodality problems from the sustainable regional development perspective.

For more information about the debates and registration, check the Calendar

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